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College Basketball Betting Free Pick: Cincinnati Bearcats at Wichita State Shockers

CBB FREE PICK: Cincinnati Bearcats at Wichita State Shockers

#628 Wichita State First Half/Game (Thursday, February 6 @ 7 pm EST)

Optimal spot for Wichita State who comes in having lost three of its last five including an ugly 54-51 loss to AAC leader, Tulsa, last weekend. The Shockers sit at 5-3 in league play and desperately need a quality win to not only move up the standings but boost their NCAA Tournament stock.

The Shockers outplayed the Golden Hurricane is a number of facets (rebounding, 2-point FG%, turnovers) but like a lot of college basketball outcomes, it was determined by 3-point shooting. Tulsa, who is not a good offensive team, knocked home 7-of-14 from deep while Wichita shot a dismal 6-of-31. It sounds as if head coach Gregg Marshall would prefer it if his team didn’t just settle for the first available open shot.

“We can certainly improve, we can execute better, we can get the ball inside more, we can screen and cut with more purpose, but, in the end, you just need to make one more shot,” Marshall said during Tuesday’s press conference.

Cincinnati is starting to surge after a sluggish start to the season. The Bearcats have won six of seven including their biggest win of the season last time out, a 64-62 triump over Houston. The AAC schedule has been pretty friendly thus far by drawing Tulsa, SMU, and Houston all at home. In the one instance where Cinci played comparable AAC competition on the road, they lost 60-49 to Memphis.

Pretty strong situation play, though some the value obviously gone with Wichita bet up from -3 to -5. Perhaps a better angle would be to split up your wager first half (-2.5) and full game.

Update: It was reported that Cincinnati’s flight last night was canceled and the Bearcats didn’t arrive in Wichita until earlier this afternoon. This should add to the strength of our play on the Shockers. 

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Advantage Group (formerly Otto Sports) has built its reputation on emphasizing a low volume, high winning percentage approach. The results in college football over the last three seasons are unmatched: 80-39 67% +59.475 units of profit on a 1, 1.5, and 2-unit scale. During that span, nickel bettors took home $26K after service fees. Also impressive is the group’s college basketball track record since 2015: 119-83 59% +32.7 units of profit. Advantage Group also owns strong results in the NBA (800+ plays, 55% winners over the last decade) and NFL (55% since 2012).