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College Basketball Betting Free Pick: UCF Knights at Cincinnati Bearcats

FREE PICK: UCF Knights at Cincinnati Bearcats

#601 UCF +8 (Thursday, February 21 @ 7 pm EST)

Cincinnati may be 10-2 in AAC play but the Bearcats haven’t been dominant and their schedule is about to get a lot tougher. Eliminate bottom feeder Tulane who is 4-21, 0-13 and these are the margins of Cincinnati’s AAC wins: 5 (OT), 2 (OT), 8, 11, 24, 4, 5, 5, and 10. The wins that came by double-digits were against Wichita twice and Tulsa; two teams that are currently below .500 in league play.

Last year’s meeting in Cincinnati featured the Bearcats delivering a brutal 77-40 beatdown. UCF’s BJ Taylor didn’t score, Aubrey Dawkins and Tacko Fall didn’t play and Cinci’s Gary Clark, Jacob Evans, and Kyle Washington — all of which have moved on from the program — combined for 36 points. Expect a far more competitive game tonight. Taylor has emerged as one of the go-to scorers in the league, Dawkins has added an offensive dimension the Knights never had, and Fall is playing his best basketball of the season with 36 points and 16 rebounds in UCF’s last two wins.

With a NET rating of 39th and three games upcoming against Cincinnati and Houston, UCF is live for a potential NCAA berth and more than capable of keeping tonight’s game close for a full 40 minutes. Take the underdog.

Advantage Group

Advantage Group (formerly Otto Sports) has built its reputation on emphasizing a low volume, high winning percentage approach. The results in college football over the last three seasons are unmatched: 80-39 67% +59.475 units of profit on a 1, 1.5, and 2-unit scale. During that span, nickel bettors took home $26K after service fees. Also impressive is the group’s college basketball track record since 2015: 119-83 59% +32.7 units of profit. Advantage Group also owns strong results in the NBA (800+ plays, 55% winners over the last decade) and NFL (55% since 2012).