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College Basketball Betting Free Pick: Valparaiso Crusaders at Illinois State Redbirds

FREE PICK: Valparaiso Crusaders at Illinois State Redbirds

#622 UNDER 131.5 (Tuesday, February 5 @ 8 pm EST)

After struggling defensively for much of non-conference play, Illinois State has seemingly figured it out as it sits tied for first in MVC play at 7-3. The Redbirds have held their last three opponents to 62, 55, and 57 points. The 57-point showing came in a recent win against Loyola, the MVC’s top offensive efficiency team. Head coach Dan Muller has his squad throwing multiple looks on the defensive end; a soft press that drops back into a zone. It’s helped slow down the pace of their games with three straight unders heading into tonight.

Valpo jumped out to a 5-1 start in league play but has since dropped four straight. During that span, the Crusaders failed to crack 60 points. Not having Providence transfer Ryan Fazekas has really impacted the offense. Fazekas is by far the team’s top offensive weapon (41% 3-pt.). In the seven games without him, Valpo has averaged 59 ppg.

These two teams met back on Jan. 5 with Valpo narrowly winning 58-56. Just goes to show the impact of non-conference play as the total closed 140.5. Here were see nearly a 10-point adjustment but the current form for both squads points toward another typical MVC slobber-knocker.

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