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College Basketball Betting Free Pick: Vanderbilt Commodores at Florida Gators

CBB FREE PICK: Vanderbilt Commodores at Florida Gators

#783 Vanderbilt +14.5 (Saturday, February 15 @ 8 pm EST)

There are few teams more untrustable as a big favorite than the Florida Gators who are 15-9 SU but only 9-15 ATS. This is a team that has size, talent, and ability which most recently were on full display in a 78-61 road win over Texas A&M. But for every “complete” effort from the Gators seemingly comes two lackluster performances that has Head Coach Mike White banging his head against the wall. Look no further than the game prior to the win over A&M in which Florida was outcoached and outplayed in a 68-51 loss at Ole Miss.

Vanderbilt has quietly covered four of its last five and last time out led Kentucky by as many as 14 late in the first half before running out of steam. There are all sorts of positives with this team, most notably the lack of “quit” and steady improvement despite being without their best player, Aaron Nesmith. They led Mississippi State at half on the road, beat LSU who is arguably the most talented team in the SEC, were up 10 in the second half in Lexington, and battled back from an 18-point deficit to come up just short in a 61-55 home loss to Florida two weeks ago. Being “young and dumb” isn’t a bad attribute to have, especially when you’re catching big points against a team that has a long history of not playing up to its full potential.

Advantage Group

Advantage Group (formerly Otto Sports) has built its reputation on emphasizing a low volume, high winning percentage approach. The results in college football over the last three seasons are unmatched: 80-39 67% +59.475 units of profit on a 1, 1.5, and 2-unit scale. During that span, nickel bettors took home $26K after service fees. Also impressive is the group’s college basketball track record since 2015: 119-83 59% +32.7 units of profit. Advantage Group also owns strong results in the NBA (800+ plays, 55% winners over the last decade) and NFL (55% since 2012).