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MLB Betting Free Pick: New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins

MLB FREE PICK: New York Yankees (Sabathia) at Minnesota Twins (Perez)

#913 OVER 11 (Monday, July 22 @ 8:10 pm EST)

Ultra-important series upcoming for the Minnesota Twins as their lead in the AL Central is only three games. They face one of the hottest teams in MLB as the New York Yankees have taken a commanding 9-game lead in the AL East thanks to a 23-7 run over their last 30 games.

Minnesota will send Martin Perez to the hill tonight. Perez made some offseason adjustments that yielded very positive results early on as his ERA sat sub-3.00 in late May. The spike in production was directly tied to a spike in velocity something that he unfortunately hasn’t been able to maintain. Down a tick or two, Perez has regressed towards the mean over his last eight starts as he shows a 5.65 ERA and pedestrian 33-15 K-to-BB ratio over his last 43 innings. The Yankees’ season-long stats show lefties are a big weakness but injuries played a big role in that. Stanton is still out but the current lineup is far better suited to smack around southpaws compared to what we saw in April and May.

CC Sabathia continues to chew up innings and pump out good but not great outings. At his best, Sabathia is a 6-inning, 3 or 4 earned run pitcher Navigating the Twins’ lineup, however, should prove to be much tougher. Minnesota ranks second in MLB against lefties with a 123 wRC+.

Temperatures expected to be on the mild size compared to what we’ve seen across the MLB landscape of late. Still, two very hittable left-handers pitted up against two lineups loaded with right-handed power bats has us looking over the total.

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