College Football Betting Free Pick: Washington Huskies at BYU Cougars
CFB FREE PICK: Washington Huskies at BYU Cougars
#350 UNDER 51.5 (Saturday, September 17 @ 3:30 pm EST)
Two somewhat fraudulent scores for the BYU Cougars thanks to two overtimes. Against Tennessee, the game was knotted up 16-16 at the end of regulation. Last week’s game against USC looked headed under the total (the markets played it up from 51 to 57.5) before both teams combined for 20 points in the fourth quarter to force overtime. Interesting that the total vs. USC — a team that has a suspect defense and loves to play fast — opened 51 and this week’s total against Washington — a team that has a great defense and loves to play slow — opened 50. And don’t forget BYU’s Week 1 game vs. Utah. The Utes are very similar in style and ability to that of Washington and came away with a 30-12 victory.
When given the chance, Washington isn’t shy about putting points on the board. They hung 47 vs. Eastern Washington and last week got into a rare track meet vs. Hawaii in what ended up being a 52-20 win. But Chris Petersen has a strong track record of bogging down games vs. comparable competition. Dating back to last season, Washington’s games vs. Power 5 foes topped 51 points only three times in 14 tries including Week 2’s 20-19 loss to California. Note too that there were only 111 plays run in UW’s 35-7 win over BYU a season ago.
With the key number of 51.5 available and our numbers making the game 47.5, a play on the under is warranted.
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