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Boxing Betting Free Pick: Deontay Wilder vs. Tyson Fury

BOXING FREE PICK: Deontay Wilder vs. Tyson Fury

#24917 Wilder -125/Wilder via KO (Saturday, February 22 @ 11 pm EST)

This Saturday, boxing fans and bettors will be treated to one of the biggest matches in years. These two undefeated fighters met back in December of 2018 and after a controversial draw, Deontay Wilder and Tyson Fury will meet again this Saturday in Las Vegas.

Wilder is the Mike Tyson of the heavyweight division. He currently holds a record of 42-0-1 with 41 knockouts. The only fight of his career (aside from the draw to Fury) that didn’t end in him winning via knockout was his fight against Bermane Stiverne when he won the WBC heavyweight title. Although he didn’t knock Stiverne out, Wilder managed to score a unanimous decision in a lopsided fight.

Tyson Fury also currently holds an undefeated record; 29-0-1 with 20 knockouts. Fury made his mark on the heavyweight division when he defeated Wladimir Klitschko via unanimous decision to win the WBA (Super), IBF, WBO, IBO, The Ring, and lineal heavyweight titles.

In the last fight, Fury outweighed Wilder 256-212. Rumors are that Fury is now 15 pounds heavier heading into Friday night’s weigh in. Fury also has a two-inch height advantage over Wilder.

The first fight between started out slow as the two attempted to feel each other out. Most big fights start like that and we can expect the same situation to play out in this fight. Fury turned the fight around when he switched to a southpaw stance mid-way through. Wilder threw a ton of power shots in the fight, which he normally does, but Fury did well to avoid a majority of them.

Finally, in the 9th round, Wilder got to Fury and scored his first knockdown. A clearly gassed Wilder, who is used to scoring early knockout victories, struggled for the next couple of rounds. Then, in the 12th round, Wilder knocked Fury down again for what looked like a finishing blow. To the shock of the crowd and surely everyone watching on TV, Fury managed to survive the count and finished the round strong with some solid blows to Wilder.

Some believed that Fury out-boxed Wilder in that first fight while others believe that Wilder’s two knockdowns of Fury was enough for him to earn the win. However, the judges were split and the result ended in a draw setting us up for this weekend’s mega-fight.

For The Bronze Bomber (Wilder), his biggest issues in that first fight were his cardio and inaccuracy. Fury managed to make Wilder miss 83% of his 430 punches thrown. The deeper this fight went, it became more clear that Wilder was running out of steam. Wilder hasn’t had many fights go past even four rounds let alone the distance. If Wilder can improve his cardio in this fight and land a higher percentage of his punches than this fight will be his to lose.

The Gypsy King (Fury) was the more technical boxer in the first fight and did well to avoid the home run swing of Wilder. His switch in fighting stance clearly caused trouble for Wilder. Keeping Wilder on his toes and managing to avoid power shots is what Fury needs to do if he wants to get the win this weekend.

Fury, no doubt, has knockout power but it almost seems like the only way he can win this fight is via decision. Wilder, on the other hand, already proved he can knock Fury down as he did twice in the previous fight. If not for Fury’s amazing 12th round count survival that may go down as one of the best of all-time, Wilder would have scored yet another knockout victory. Wilder is capable of winning this fight via a decision or knockout.

For the first time in his career, Wilder was somewhat exposed as it was clear he needed to fine tune his accuracy a bit and work on his cardio. For Fury, he fought arguably the perfect fight yet only managed a draw. Wilder is the fighter who can improve the most from the first fight to now. His knockout power is among the best all-time and he already concussed Fury. The Gypsy King’s mental health has been a topic of concern recently and with the power of Wilder, it appears this one if headed for a knockout as the BOMB SQUAD gets yet another finishing victory.

Brandon Wittmeyer

Brandon Wittmeyer is a professional gambler in Las Vegas and has earned a living doing so for the last 15 years. He specializes in college football, college basketball, NFL and mixed martial arts. He also educates and advises others on many gambling topics including sports betting and poker. Brandon is featured occasionally on the Vegas Sports Information Network (VSIN) and you can hear him on podcasts regularly. He has written for Card Player magazine in the past about betting and poker strategies. His poker resume includes winning a World Series of Poker Bracelet and a WSOP Circuit Ring.