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College Basketball Betting Free Pick: Marshall Thundering Herd at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

FREE PICK: Marshall Thundering Herd at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

#666 UNDER 158 (Thursday, February 28 @ 7:30 pm EST)

Big move on tonight’s Marshall-Louisiana Tech total has opened up a good opportunity to bet under. The Thundering Herd are still playing with plenty of pace but their offensive efficiency has declined compared to past seasons. They currently rank fifth in points per possession in a watered down C-USA. It’s very tough to score at the rate Dan D’Antoni wants when your hitting only 31.6% of your 3-point shots in conference play. And tonight’s game hardly screams “correction” as the Herd travel to Ruston to take on C-USA’s top-rated defense.

Also in play is that Tech has shown zero desire to want to play at a fast pace. In C-USA play, only three of their games have topped 70 possessions. Their highest possession game (74) actually came in the first meeting against Marshall where the score at the end of regulation was 74-74. And let’s not forget that Louisiana Tech isn’t a very good offensive team. They rank 11th in C-USA in efficiency and shoot a dismal 30.1% from deep.

At the current number, you need not only pace but an above average shooting night from both squads for the game to go over 158. I’m betting against that happening.

Andrew Lange

With significant market influence, Andrew Lange has produced a decade-long 58% winning rate on over 750 selections in college basketball. Using a low volume, high return approach, Lange's results in the NFL have been equally impressive with a 61% mark and over +49 units of profit on a 1, 1.5, and 2-unit scale since 2012.