College Basketball Betting Free Pick: UW-Green Bay Phoenix at Marshall Thundering Herd
FREE PICK: UW-Green Bay Phoenix at Marshall Thundering Herd
#733 UW-Green Bay +5.5 (Thursday, April 4 @ 7 pm EST)
Marshall heads into tonight’s CIT Championship with a solid 22-14 overall record but the Thundering Herd have vastly underachieved from both a statistical and betting perspective. In C-USA play, Marshall finished 11-7 but was outscored from a points per possession standpoint (0.03 ppp). Overall on the season, Marshall was actually outscored by its opposition 80.8 to 80.2 ppg. They’ve obviously played better basketball down the stretch (9-1 run heading into tonight) but that run only produced a modest 6-4 ATS record. And Marshall three CIT victories, all of which at home, were not exactly dominating. In the opening round, despite leading by 15, they limped to a 78-73 over IUPUI. Presbyterian was playing its third road game in six days and actually led in the second half before running out of steam in a 83-66 loss. And two nights ago, Marshall needed to net 13 3-pointers to slip past Hampton 80-78. Green Bay’s body of work is a little more impressive. They opened up the tournament with a 102-94 win at a very tough ETSU and then rolled past FIU and Bakersfield. Last time out, they took a punch from a very talented Texas Southern team (TSU beat Oregon with Bol Bol) and escaped with an overtime victory. The Phoenix went seven players deep in Tuesday’s win so tonight’s short turnaround shouldn’t be that daunting. In the end, these two teams mirror each other in terms of pace and scoring prowess hence the high total. Even with home court advantage, the -5.5 price tag is just too rich for a Marshall team with an iffy statistical profile. Take the underdog.