College Basketball Betting Free Pick: Purdue Boilermakers at Maryland Terrapins
FREE PICK: Purdue Boilermakers at Maryland Terrapins
#604 Maryland +2.5 (Tuesday, February 12 @ 6:30 pm EST)
Winners of eight straight, the Purdue Boilermakers find themselves a half game behind Michigan in the Big Ten standings at 10-2. Matt Painter’s bunch has done it with offense as they rank fourth nationally and first in the Big Ten in offensive efficiency. Led by Carson Edwards, Purdue is without question playing its best basketball of the season.
Maryland enjoyed a similar run as it jumped out to a 7-1 start to Big Ten play. But the Terps have since cooled having lost three of their last five. Of those three losses, two were certainly excusable with road tilts at Michigan State and Wisconsin. And the neutral site loss to Illinois doesn’t look as bad considering the Illini have won four of their last five including one over Michigan State.
These two teams met back in December with Purdue winning in West Lafayette, 62-60. I don’t view this exclusively as a “revenge” spot but rather some extra value with the market playing the Boilermakers up to -2.5. Given the natural ebb and flow of college basketball and particularly the Big Ten, this feels like a line move predicated more on current form. Yes, Purdue is deserving of its recent power rating bump but in the end, these two teams are very similar talent-wise as are their respective overall bodies of work. Not sure we see an +3’s but situation and price point towards support of a very capable home underdog.