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MLB Betting Free Pick: New York Mets at San Diego Padres

FREE PICK: New York Mets (Syndergaard) at San Diego (Quantrill)

#912 UNDER 7.5 (Tuesday, May 7 @ 10:10 pm EST)

Like Jacob deGrom, it’s been a slow start to the season for Noah Syndergaard. Prior to his last outing, Syndergaard had produced only one quality start in six tries. After allowing five runs in five inning vs. Milwaukee, he complained that the it was nearly impossible to grip the baseball due to its slick nature coupled with cold weather. Last time out, with balmy conditions, Thor hurled a 10-strikeout, complete game vs. the Cincinnati Reds. Weather won’t be a factor tonight at Petco with temps in the low 60’s. And similar to deGrom, Syndergaard is a favorable matchup against a Padres’ lineup loaded with right-handed bats.

San Diego’s Cal Quantrill will get his second start of the season. His first one was a difficult spot with having to make his MLB debut against a quality Atlanta lineup on the road. He delivered a solid effort with two runs allowed over 5.2 innings. Quantrill is a former first round pick and scouting reports project him to be a no. 2 or no. 3 starter. At home and facing a struggling Mets lineup should produce another above average outing.

I recommended a play on yesterday’s series opener under as both deGrom and Chris Paddack combined for 14.2 innings, 2 earned runs, and 18 strikeouts. Note that the total opened 7, was bet down to 6.5, and hit to 6 prior to game time when Doug Eddings was announced behind the plate. The Padres ended up winning, 4-0. Tonight’s total again opened 7 but we’ve seen money on the over. Syndergaard and Quantrill unlikely to match yesterday’s dominant numbers but they’re still in a good position to keep both lineups in check. At 7.5, we’ll look to play the under.

 

Andrew Lange
MLB

With significant market influence, Andrew Lange has produced a decade-long 58% winning rate on over 750 selections in college basketball. Using a low volume, high return approach, Lange's results in the NFL have been equally impressive with a 61% mark and over +49 units of profit on a 1, 1.5, and 2-unit scale since 2012.