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MLB Betting Free Pick: New York Mets at San Diego Padres

FREE PICK: New York Mets (deGrom) at San Diego (Paddack)

#962 UNDER 6.5 (Monday, May 6 @ 10:10 pm EST)

After a sluggish start to the season — by his elite-level standards — New York’s Jacob deGrom is coming off of his best outing of the season in which he threw seven shutout innings against the Cincinnati Reds. deGrom had some elbow issues a few weeks back but showed typical velocity and doubled high previous season-high with 10 ground balls. He’s a nightmare of a matchup for a right-handed heavy Padres lineup in Petco Park.

There will be spots down the road to fade San Diego’s Chris Paddack when he faces teams outside of Petco for a second time. But for the time being, he’s a “bet on” arm. In fact, Paddack in Petco on extra rest, which he’ll have tonight, is an excellent profile. Like deGrom, he should thrive against a Mets’ lineup that has been abysmal of late (3.2 rpg last 17 games, 2.14 rpg last 7 games).

New York’s bullpen is banged up and was worked hard during a recent series vs. Milwaukee. They did however have Monday off a deGrom is more than capable of going deep into the game. Obviously like both starting pitchers but tough to play the 5-inning line with a total of 3. Also missed the opened of 7 which bettors took out in a hurry. Tonight’s total of 6.5 however is still worth some sort of abbreviated wager.

Andrew Lange

With significant market influence, Andrew Lange has produced a decade-long 58% winning rate on over 750 selections in college basketball. Using a low volume, high return approach, Lange's results in the NFL have been equally impressive with a 61% mark and over +49 units of profit on a 1, 1.5, and 2-unit scale since 2012.