College Basketball Betting Free Pick: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks at Alabama Crimson Tide
CBB FREE PICK: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks at Alabama Crimson Tide
#308147 Stephen F. Austin +9.5 (Friday, December 6 @ 8 pm EST)
After Stephen Austin’s huge upset win at Duke, you could forgive them for a letdown against lowly Arkansas State. The Lumberjacks had other ideas as Kyle Keller’s squad went into Jonesboro and posted a convincing victory. SFA led at half, extended the lead coming out of the break and cruised to the win. For me, that’s the mark of a solid, mature team that’s not done winning (see Evansville’s results after their Kentucky win, it’s not pretty). The ‘Jacks start all juniors and seniors that won’t be intimidated in Tuscaloosa.
While Alabama does have a quality win at home against Furman, that’s where it ends. They are still playing faster than their talent level allows, ranking 5th in KenPom’s pace ratings. The biggest problem is turnovers, where they rank 313th. Last out against Southern Miss they lowered the possessions and won by double digits, but most of the slowdown was because of Southern Miss. If Alabama continues to play out of control they will continue to be a good fade in the right spots. I think this is one of those. The Lumberjacks want to play fast and Alabama is likely to join in. Take the generous +9.5 with Stephen F Austin.