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Waz’s College Basketball Early Betting Observations


Courtesy of sbnation.com

We’re only a couple of days into the college basketball season, but there’s no time to waste for bettors. You have to be proactive in this business. Waiting for confirmation of a trend or opinion will likely cause you to miss it. Here’s what caught my eye so far.

The story of day one was Duke. The freshmen looked fabulous from start to finish while putting up 118 on Kentucky. That doesn’t happen very often and it will surely hurt Kentucky in the battle for 5-star recruits with the Blue Devils. RJ Barrett and Zion Williamson both seem unstoppable and Marques Bolden looks like he’s going to flourish with more minutes. Don’t rush out to the bet the Dookies in their next game as there is often a letdown after a performance of these proportions. They are probably not going to be as fired up about playing Army. They also probably aren’t going to run up the score on the Black Knights either. There’s a respect factor at play, especially with the ties to Coach K.

Florida State quickly jumped into KenPom’s top 10 with a thrashing of Florida 81-60. Before we get too excited about the Seminoles, consider that they shot 11-of-23 from 3-point land and benefited from some foul trouble for the Gators. Florida State is deep this year and eight different players logged 13 minutes or more and several others got action (Phil Cofer also missed the game). Freshman point guard Andrew Nembhard for Florida looked pretty good in his debut. He scored 12 points on just eight shots, but did have just four assists against four turnovers. But he certainly looks the part and I think the Gators will be fine despite a poor effort here. I’d venture to guess we can get some extra value on Florida in their next couple of games.

Central Florida looked great in their win over Rider. Tacko Fall is one of the best defensive bigs in the nation (5 blocks) and BJ Taylor does a good job of running the team. But the real difference maker for this season was adding Aubrey Dawkins, who transferred in from Michigan. He’s the scorer they needed on a team that’s centered mainly around their defense. UCF could be a potential dark horse Final Four contender and I expect to find value on them early and often.

San Francisco was also very impressive in their 76-42 win over UC Davis. They shot 67% on two-point field goals in a balanced scoring effort. I like head coach Kyle Smith quite a bit and he’s got one of the best backcourts in the West Coast Conference. You have to upgrade the Dons after the effort and I’ve already circled their matchup versus Arizona State in a week as a good spot to probably jump on board.

Ohio State beat up on Cincinnati 64-56 on Wednesday in an ugly game. I think the Bearcats are going to struggle to score points this season without Jacob Evans. The defense is still very good for Mick Cronin’s crew and they’re going to hang around most games because of it. As a result, under the total is probably the best way to play Cincinnati games going forward. Ohio State is a little under the radar at the moment, but don’t sleep on Chris Holtmann’s squad. He’s a better coach than you think and will have this team in the tournament again.

Eric Waz is primed for a big season of college basketball. There’s no sport that provides the sheer volume of betting opportunities that college basketball does on a daily basis. Get all of Waz’s expert picks each and every day at BettorIQ.

Eric Waz

Waz has been a successful professional sports bettor since moving to Las Vegas in 2010. His comprehensive approach to sports betting includes quantifying the impact of factors that can be difficult to evaluate (scheduling, injuries, coaching, etc.). He’s developed several cutting-edge handicapping tools that are now available at BettorIQ. Waz won the 2011 NFL Last Man Standing title ($86,000) at Station Casinos by beating out over 4,200 entrants. He has also notched 5 cashes in 7 years in the prestigious Westgate NFL Supercontest. Get on board with a true professional sports bettor with a proven track record.