Bettors React to Hurricane Florence
With Hurricane Florence barreling down on the East Coast the betting markets have been busy peppering games under the total. As of Wednesday afternoon, three games have already been canceled: UCF at North Carolina, East Carolina at Virginia Tech, and West Virginia at NC State. Ohio vs. Virginia was moved to Nashville. There is however a few slated to play that will be impacted by the weather. Rain can make footing tricky and the ball difficult to hold on to but when wind is added to the equation, scoring, and even moving the chains can be a tall task. In fact, there’s data that shows college football “unders” with winds over 10 mph have been a consistent moneymakers over the long term. Below we’ve provided some details on games that project to have inclement weather and how the betting markets have reacted.
Boston College at Wake Forest (Thursday)
Opening Total: 53.5
Current Total: 53
Weather: 20% rain, wind 10-20 mph
Comments: Hurricane Florence not expected to really impact the area until Friday night though winds could reach upwards of 20 mph.
Old Dominion at Charlotte (Thursday)
Opening Total: 48
Current Total: N/A
Weather: 10% rain, wind 10-20 mph
Comments: Game was originally scheduled for Saturday but moved to Thursday. The total prior to the switch was 40.5/41. Considering the Boston College-Wake Forest total hasn’t seen much of any movement, bettors should expect to see the total similar to where it originally opened.
Southern Miss at Appalachian State
Opening Total: 51
Current Total: 46
Weather: 30% rain, wind 10-15 mph
Comments: Boone, NC is roughly 300 miles inland and not expected to be heavily impacted. However, the total was still bet under 5 points.
Marshall at South Carolina
Opening Total: 51.5
Current Total: 48
Weather: 50% rain, wind 25-35 mph
Comments: There’s a possibility that this game is moved up or canceled. As of now, kickoff is slated for 7:30 pm local. A bit surprising the total hasn’t moved more but both teams were vocal about wanting to play at a faster tempo this season.
Note too, there are a lot of FCS teams located on the East Coast – some have already been canceled while others are expected to be played. The market is small but more sportsbooks are starting to offer FCS vs. FCS games.
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