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Brandon Wittmeyer’s UFC 245 Betting Preview

MMA

Fight fans are in for a treat this weekend as UFC 245 takes place at Las Vegas’ T-Mobile Arena. This is one of the most stacked fight cards in UFC history from top to bottom, and that includes prelims. Kamaru Usman, Colby Covington, Max Holloway, Alexander Volkanovski, Amanda Nunes, Germaine de Randamie, Jose Aldo and Urijah Faber are all in action on Saturday. Add in the fact that three of these are title fights and you can see why this one is a must watch. Every fight on this card is worth talking about but let’s take a look at three of the best ones.

Welterweights

(#14) Geoff Neal (12-2) vs (NR) Mike Perry (13-5)

The fight between Geoff Neal and Mike Perry will be the final prelim fight of the night. Neal has shown that he can take a punch as well as anyone in the division as he survived shot after shot from heavy-hitter Niko Price earlier this year. Neal is 4-0 in the UFC.

Perry is coming off of a decision loss to Vicente Luque in a fight that saw Perry suffer one of the worst broken noses you will ever see. Although he ended up losing the fight, Perry showed his toughness as well, making this a battle of two true warriors.

The 29-year-old Neal has a big advantage when it comes to reach (5.5 inches) over the 28-year-old Perry. Assuming Perry’s nose can hold up, this should be a great fight that sees two guys withstand a ton of big blows.

UFC Women’s Bantamweight Championship

(C) Amanda Nunes (18-4) vs (#1) Germaine de Randamie (9-3)

In the co-main event, bantamweight champion Amanda Nunes takes on top-ranked Germaine de Randamie. Both fighters have won their last five fights with Nunes winning via knockout in four of those fights and de Randamie scoring three knockouts in the same span.

Nunes had three first-round knockouts in her last five fights and all three were against some of the biggest names in the UFC. Nunes knocked out Holly Holm in her last fight. In her fight prior, she knocked out Cristiane “Cyborg” Justino. Back in December of 2016, Nunes knocked out Ronda Rousey. Even with a three-and-a-half-inch reach disadvantage, Nunes is the type of fighter that de Randamie is going to have a hard time going toe-to-toe with.

De Randamie is coming off of a knockout win against up and coming Aspen Ladd in the first round. A legendary kickboxer, it will be interesting to see how de Randamie approaches this fight with Nunes. This a rematch of a 2013 bout that saw Nunes knock de Randamie out with elbows in the first round.

UFC Welterweight Championship

(C) Kamaru Usman (15-1) vs (#2) Colby Covington (15-1)

The biggest fight of the night is the UFC welterweight championship between current champion Kamaru Usman and second-ranked Colby Covington. This fight looks pretty even on paper as both fighters are 15-1, have wrestling background, are 31 years old and about six feet tall. The biggest difference in this fight is that Usman has a four-inch read advantage.

Christian Okoye is no longer the Nigerian Nightmare as that name now belongs to Usman. Usman is a tactical fighter that likes to slow a fight down and use his strength and decision-making skills to wear down opponents. While both him and Covington like to take fights to the ground, Usman has the strength and discipline advantage.

For Covington, the development of his standup game in this fight will be crucial. He may need to win this fight standing up as Usman will outpower and outsmart him on the ground. This fight seems destined to go to a decision as both Covington and Usman had their last four fights end in a unanimous decision in their favor.

Brandon Wittmeyer

Brandon Wittmeyer is a professional gambler in Las Vegas and has earned a living doing so for the last 15 years. He specializes in college football, college basketball, NFL and mixed martial arts. He also educates and advises others on many gambling topics including sports betting and poker. Brandon is featured occasionally on the Vegas Sports Information Network (VSIN) and you can hear him on podcasts regularly. He has written for Card Player magazine in the past about betting and poker strategies. His poker resume includes winning a World Series of Poker Bracelet and a WSOP Circuit Ring.