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UFC Fight Night 169 Betting Preview

MMA

Another weekend means another UFC betting card. This weekend features UFC Fight Night 169. The card isn’t full of household names but it does feature a couple of up and comers as well as a title fight. Felicia Spencer is perhaps on-deck to battle Amanda Nunes so her co-main event fight is a chance to show people what she has. Then in the main event, Joseph Benavidez takes on Deiveson Figueiredo for the vacant flyweight title. 

Magomed Ankalaev (12-1) -220 vs. Ion Cutelaba (15-4) 

In the third to last fight of the night, Magomed Ankalaev takes on Ion Cutelaba in a light heavyweight match. This fight will perhaps act as a stepping stone for one of these fighters to get into the top 15 ranking in their weight class. 

These may not be two household names but this has the making for one of the best fights of the card. Cutelaba has had some brutal fights in his career and Ankalaev is no disappointment in the entertainment aspect either. Expect this fight to be aggressive and exciting from the opening bell. Cutelaba has a number of one-round finishes in his career and despite being the underdog in this fight, he very well could get another one this weekend.  

However, Ankalaev is expected to be a big name in this division and that won’t happen unless he wins fights like these. His tap out loss to Paul Craig with a second left in the final round is the only blemish on his record. Since then, he has won all three of his fights, including two knockouts. While Ankalaev may not be as aggressive as Cutelaba, he may not have a choice once the fight starts. 

Cutelaba will be the aggressor in this bout and as long as he can keep this fight standing, and avoid the big counter from Ankalaev, he could pull the upset. Look for Cutelaba to score a knockout victory here in the third round before forcing the judges make a tough decision. 

Felicia Spencer (7-1) -800 vs. Zarah Fairn dos Santos (6-3) 

In the co-main event, we are treated to a women’s featherweight fight that features one fighter who is on the rise, despite coming off of a loss. Felicia Spencer fell to arguably the best woman fighter of all-time in Cris Cyborg. It wasn’t a terrible loss, despite being a unanimous decision. Spencer managed to hurt Cyborg and cut her open in the process. Still relatively young, the fight may have been a bit of an early leap for her but the experience will no doubt be an asset for her future. 

If Spencer, who is a huge -800 favorite, can get a win this weekend, she may be next in line to fight Amanda Nunes. While that is the ultimate test in the women’s game at this moment, Spencer will have an advantage that other Nunes opponents didn’t seem to have. She won’t be afraid.  

Spencer quickly submitted Megan Anderson in her first UFC fight, the same Anderson who defeated Zarah Fairn dos Santos in her UFC debut. Spencer’s aggressive grappling should get her through this fight and should also serve her well assuming she does get a shot at Nunes. Look for this one to end quickly with a first-round victory for Spencer, most likely by submission.  

Joseph Benavidez (28-5) -140 vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (17-1) 

The main event is a flyweight title fight between Joseph Benavidez and Deiveson Figueiredo. Henry Cejudo vacated his flyweight title to focus on his bantamweight career. 

Benevidez is currently the #1 flyweight. He has put together a solid career that has only seen him really struggle against two fighters. Benevidez has two losses to Demetrious Johnson and two losses to Dominick Cruz, two of the best the flyweight division has ever seen. His fifth loss was a split decision to Sergio Pettis. Benavidez does not lose to bad fighters. Benevidez has a number of big victories in his career, including one over Cejudo.  

Figueiredo isn’t a bad fighter, but he isn’t as good as the names that Benavidez has lost to. However, Benavidez has to avoid the power of Figueiredo. The longer this fight goes, it should be in Benavidez’s favor. Also, you can expect Benavidez to try and take this fight to the ground, where it favors him. As long as he can avoid the early power of Figueiredo, this fight should end up with Benavidez finally winning his first title. 

Brandon Wittmeyer

Brandon Wittmeyer is a professional gambler in Las Vegas and has earned a living doing so for the last 15 years. He specializes in college football, college basketball, NFL and mixed martial arts. He also educates and advises others on many gambling topics including sports betting and poker. Brandon is featured occasionally on the Vegas Sports Information Network (VSIN) and you can hear him on podcasts regularly. He has written for Card Player magazine in the past about betting and poker strategies. His poker resume includes winning a World Series of Poker Bracelet and a WSOP Circuit Ring.