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UFC Fight Night 170 Betting Preview

MMA

One of the few remaining sporting events left, UFC Fight Night 170 will go as scheduled in Brazil on Saturday. While there will be no fans present due to the recent coronavirus outbreak, this is still a stacked card from top to bottom that features a lot of exciting fighters.

Lightweight: Francisco Trinaldo (24-7) -170 vs. John Makdessi (17-6)

Francisco Trinaldo is one of the oldest and most experienced fighters in the UFC. At 41 years old, Trinaldo has logged 20 career UFC fights since his debut in 2012. Trinaldo went on a seven-fight win streak that spanned two years. Since then, he’s gone 3-3 including two losses via decision and a submission loss to Kevin Lee.

John Makdessi is a Canadian fighter who enters this contest on a three-fight winning streak. After a 9-0 start to his MMA career, Makdessi has gone 8-6 in his last 14 fights including a UFC career record of 10-6. Makdessi is the type of fighter who loves to stand and throw punches and he is one of the better strikers in his division with nine career knockouts. Long waits between fights have been the norm for Makdessi of late, having fought just one fight per calendar year since 2017. Makdessi’s last fight was in March of last year, 357 days ago.

While Trinaldo can certainly stand and fight with Makdessi, he will likely make some efforts to take this fight to the ground where his wrestling background has the upperhand. Whoever is the more aggressive fighter in this bout should be able to score a nice victory.

Light Heavyweight: Johnny Walker (17-4) -140 vs. Nikita Krylov (25-7)

Johnny Walker is a flashy fighter that really likes to play to a crowd and he has the talent to back it up. In his first three UFC fights, Walker scored three first round knockout victories in a total of 2:48, including two in under 37 seconds.

The Johnny Walker hype train was rolling until November of last year when he took on Corey Anderson in UFC 244. Anderson caught Walker with a number of shots to the head before the match was ultimately ended with Anderson scoring the knockout victory in just 2:07.

Krylov has four first round finishes himself, two by KO and two by submission. Two of those fights ended inside the first minute. He was making his way up the UFC rankings with five straight victories before falling to Misha Cirkunov via first round submission.

Krylov left the UFC for nearly two years and then came back to face Jan Blachowicz. After falling to Blachowicz, Krylov avenged an earlier loss to Ovince St. Preux with a second round submission. Krylov is coming off of a close contest against Glover Teixeira that ended in a split decision that didn’t go in his favor.

This should be an excellent fight between two talented fighters. Will Walker put the theatrics aside to focus on the fight or will his ego get the best of him again?

Welterweight: Demian Maia (28-9) vs. Gilbert Burns (17-3) -180

Demian Maia is a 42-year-old Brazilian fighter who has 37 fights in his MMA career. This Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt has scored 14 submission victories and has only been finished via knockout once in his career. His other eight losses have all been by decision. Of his nine defeats, the majority of them came from big name fighters like Kamaru Usman, Colby Covington, Tyron Woodley, Jake Shield, Chris Weidman, Anderson Silva, and Nate Marquardt.

Gilbert Burns is a three-time Brazilian jiu-jitsu world champion. He enters this bout on a four-fight winning streak including victories in his last two fights that he took under late notice. Nearly half of his 17 career victories (eight) have come via submission. Nine years the minor of Maia, Burns will be looking to show one of the best submission fighters in his weight class, and country, that he is now the submission king.

Neither fighter does their best damage standing up so expect the majority of this fight to be on the ground. Those who are fans of big punches and knockout victories probably won’t be enjoying this fight as much as some of the others on this card. Those who are jiu-jitsu fans will surely be in for a treat.

Lightweight: Kevin Lee (18-5) -145 vs. Charles Oliveira (28-8) 

Kevin Lee is a former college wrestler who fights out of Detroit, Michigan. Of his 18 career victories, eight have come via submission while three were by knockout. Lee has some solid wins and it has taken some big name fighters to take him down (Rafael dos Anjos, Al Iaquinta twice and Tony Ferguson). However, after a spurt that saw him go 9-1, Lee has gone just 2-3 in his last five fights.

Charles Oliveira is another Brazilian fighter who thrives on submissions. In fact, he has a UFC-record 13 career submissions of his 16 UFC victories. Oliveira enters this fight on a six-fight win streak. However, the surprising aspect is that his last two victories came via knockout.

This should be an excellent main event bout between two fighters looking to rise to the top of the lightweight division. Both men have the ability to win fights on the ground and with Oliviera’s recent knockout spree, this fight could see more stand up action than you would expect. Lee certainly has knockout ability as well and Oliviera has struggled with pressure in the past. However, if Lee gets too aggressive, he could play into Oliviera’s trap and find himself tapping out. This is one of those rare exciting fights that could see either fighter winning by any method.

Brandon Wittmeyer

Brandon Wittmeyer is a professional gambler in Las Vegas and has earned a living doing so for the last 15 years. He specializes in college football, college basketball, NFL and mixed martial arts. He also educates and advises others on many gambling topics including sports betting and poker. Brandon is featured occasionally on the Vegas Sports Information Network (VSIN) and you can hear him on podcasts regularly. He has written for Card Player magazine in the past about betting and poker strategies. His poker resume includes winning a World Series of Poker Bracelet and a WSOP Circuit Ring.