Erin Rynning’s NFL Betting Stock Watch
I’ve been writing a “Stock Watch” article for over a decade. The goal of the exercise is to get ahead of the curve with specific teams. Value comes and goes throughout a season and I’ve always prided myself on spotting it before a majority of the betting markets. Below I’ve isolated two NFL teams who I feel offer money making potential moving forward.
Buy the Houston Texans – Rust. That’s certainly a logical excuse for the Texans’ sluggish Week 1 performance against the New England Patriots. Second-year quarterback Deshaun Watson was making his first start since a devastating knee injury cut his rookie campaign short. He completed only 17-of-34 passes for 176 yards. Houston also expects wide receiver Will Fuller to return this week after missing the opener. His return will open up the pass game and alleviate pressure on All-Pro DeAndre Hopkins. Watson put the loss to the Pats firmly on his shoulders and I expect him to round into form shortly. Rust was also an issue for the defense. JJ Watt returned from a gruesome leg injury after playing in just five games in 2017. Watt saw action in just eight games the last two years and one could see his play perk up in the second half against the Patriots. Jadeveon Clowney missed the bulk of preseason with his own knee injury as he looks to make strides off a poor opening week. Whitney Mercilus’ 2017 season was cut short after just five games and he too dealt with an injury during the preseason. Houston’s front seven is ultra-talented and with a game under their belt, look for big time improvements. There’s also lack of chemistry to consider with new faces like Tyrann Mathieu expected to eventually be a key cog on the stop unit. In the end, it was a tough Week 1 draw having to face Tom Brady and the Patriots on the road. The schedule now lightens with the likelihood of Houston being favored in four of their next five games.
Sell the Oakland Raiders – Last Monday, Jon Gruden and the Oakland Raiders were back…for a half. And then they were outscored 23-0 by the Los Angeles Rams en route to a 33-13 loss. The mindset of this franchise moving forward should be severely questioned. Obviously, trading All-Pro Khalil Mack gave off a negative tone to start the campaign. One could only imagine what Mack’s teammates felt about the move. With Mack, the Raiders still finished last season ranked 29th in defensive efficiency. The remaining talent on the stop unit is lacking as they haven’t been able to consistently stop the pass game in over three years. Where will the vital quarterback pressure come from? Adding fuel to the fire is the loss of run stopping tackle Justin Ellis for the foreseeable future. Finding offensive balance shouldn’t be difficult for the opposition. In order to win games, the offense is going to need to post big numbers but dating back to last year the Raiders have scored 13, 10, 10, 17 and 15 points their last five games. They lack playmaking skills within the unit and Derek Carr’s confidence appears to be waning. He’s also having difficulty making even the simplest of throws. The onus falls on the run game that did shine in last week’s first half. But asking it to carry the team moving forward is unrealistic.
Erin Rynning is off to a profitable start to the NFL season and has a long term track record of 57% winners dating back to 2012. Multiple subscription options for Week 2 including full coverage for only $99.