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NFL Betting Tips: Early Season Observations To Cash In On (Part II)


Yesterday I shared some of the key observations in Part I that I’ve made during the first two weeks of the NFL season. Today’s article is a continuation of those early season observations to keep in mind when going to the betting window. 

Josh Allen has Made Significant Strides 

I like what I’m seeing so far from Bills quarterback Josh Allen. The second-year quarterback has made great strides from the middle of last season until today. He’s been sitting in the pocket more and is recognizably more comfortable throwing it. If the Bills ever just decide to give rookie running back Devin Singletary the starting job, it should make it even easier on Allen. This could actually be a league-average offense to pair with their top five defense. Bills fans – you have a team worth cheering for! 

The Packers Won’t Ride Aaron Rodgers’ Arm to a Super Bowl 

Offensive Coordinator Nathaniel Hackett and Head Coach Matt LaFleur tried to give away the game on Sunday to the Vikings. With a 21-10 lead at the half, the Packers went extremely conservative. They predictably handed it off on first down and went to the short passing game often. It must be in the DNA of Hackett and LaFleur, because it was abundantly obvious that what they did in the first half was working great. Why change the game plan? The result was zero second half points, for which only UNDER bettors like me were amused by. Use Green Bay’s conservatism to your advantage for in-game betting and second half plays. It’s not rocket science. 

Miami is the Worst NFL Team We’ve Ever Seen and it’s Not Close 

It was clear to me going into the season, that the Miami Dolphins had assembled the worst roster of players that I had ever seen. They traded away most of their veterans that had any value and made it abundantly clear that they wanted the #1 pick next year. The season win total of five wins was laughable as I’m not sure they could write any bets on the OVER if they posted a total of two today. We’re going to continue to see a lot of big point spreads in Miami games this season. And if Josh Rosen eventually get the starting nod, which is likely coming at some point, you have to downgrade this Miami team a few points lower than they are now. That’s scary bad. 

Patrick Mahomes is Better Than Last Year 

Most expected some regression for Patrick Mahomes after a historic 2018 MVP season. Surely, he couldn’t put up 5,000+ yards and 50 touchdowns AGAIN! Well, he won’t put up those numbers again because they will actually be better this season. Give Head Coach Andy Reid an offseason to tinker and this is what you get. The Chiefs offense is an absolute machine and adding Mecole Hardman makes them that much more dangerous. I’m still a bit worried about the defense, but there’s time to figure it out as their offense will win them 10+ games all by themselves. 

Something is Wrong with the Eagles 

After watching the Eagles struggle mightily for two straight weeks, it’s obvious that this team isn’t as good as advertised. They should be 0-2 but fortunately played a bad Redskins team in Week 1 that self-destructed in the second half. Philadelphia has problems on both sides of the ball and these don’t look like quick fixes. I don’t like to panic early on in the season, but this is one team that I have downgraded significantly so far. 

Eric Waz had a monster season in the NFL last year, bringing home +15.1 units of profit overall for clients while connecting on nearly 60% of his selections. Click HERE to receive every selection Waz makes from this week through the Super Bowl.

Eric Waz

Waz has been a successful professional sports bettor since moving to Las Vegas in 2010. His comprehensive approach to sports betting includes quantifying the impact of factors that can be difficult to evaluate (scheduling, injuries, coaching, etc.). He’s developed several cutting-edge handicapping tools that are now available at BettorIQ. Waz won the 2011 NFL Last Man Standing title ($86,000) at Station Casinos by beating out over 4,200 entrants. He has also notched 5 cashes in 7 years in the prestigious Westgate NFL Supercontest. Get on board with a true professional sports bettor with a proven track record.