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The NFL Needs a Grand Salami

NFL

AP Photo/John Locher

One of my favorite bets during the MLB season is the Grand Salami. For the uninitiated, the Grand Salami is a wager that takes into account the collective results for an entire slate of games in a given day. The linesmaker simply puts out a line for the Away Teams and the Home Teams, along with a total, based on that day’s specific baseball matchups. The Grand Salami line looks something like this:

Away Teams +140    Over 132 runs (-110)
Home Teams -150    Under 132 runs (-110)

Let’s say there are 15 games on the full MLB slate. If you bet the Away Teams, you are rooting for all 15 road teams. If they collectively score more runs than the home teams, then you win your wager. The same goes betting the total runs for the Grand Salami. Using our example, you need the combined runs from the 15 games to exceed 132 runs to cash an OVER ticket on the Grand Salami. It’s a fun bet because EVERY game on the schedule matters. But that’s not why I attack the Grand Salami regularly.

The Salami can be a great bet because your edge can be rather large if things line up right. If you see value on 12 of the 15 home teams on a particular day, it’s likely that your edge betting the Salami Home Teams will be far greater than in any individual game you bet. That’s because the Salami represents an accumulation of edges. You will also see less variance and bad luck when betting the Grand Salami. In one game, it only takes one fluke play to change the entire fortunes for the team you bet on. With the Salami, since there are many more games dictating the outcome, those fluke plays tend to even out more often than they would in just a single game. In other words, the larger the sample, the truer the result. You won’t feel as cheated as often betting the Salami. It’s just a solid bet you can count on when you have the right approach.

Hockey bettors are also familiar with the Grand Salami. Replace runs with goals and the concepts for the NHL’s version of the Salami are identical. The one downside to betting the Salami in hockey is that there are typically less games on a daily basis. As a result, you don’t tend to get as true of a result as you do in baseball. However, there is often more value to be had betting on the Grand Salami in hockey than there is on a particular game. It’s a great bet for hockey bettors.

With the level of interest in betting on the Grand Salami in MLB and the NHL, I’m baffled as to why there is no Grand Salami bet available for the NFL. Going back over a decade ago, there was an NFL Grand Salami available at several prominent sportsbooks, but it slowly disappeared from most of the betting world (except for a few very select books). There’s absolutely no question that football is king right now in the sports world. That goes for popularity and viewership amongst fans, as well as with bettors. So why isn’t the NFL Grand Salami a widespread betting option? There are usually 12-14 games on football Sunday. Why not put up a Salami line for the Away Teams, Home Teams and an over/under for total points for the NFL’s Sunday’s slate? Recreational bettors, sharps and everyone in between would enjoy an NFL Grand Salami. It instantly makes every game matter for bettors. If the average fan has a bet on three NFL games, he’s likely to tune into strictly those games and follow the action. With a Salami bet in pocket, he’s now interested in EVERY game on Sunday’s board. Selfishly, I want the NFL Grand Salami to happen because it would provide another wager with potentially high +EV. But this needs to happen for betting in general. It just makes too much sense not to. Linesmakers, listen up. We need the NFL Grand Salami bet at your sportsbook, so please make it happen!

Professional sports bettor Waz has notched several big accomplishments in Las Vegas football contests including an $86,000 score in the Station Casinos NFL Last Man Standing contest and 5 cashes in 7 years in the Westgate Supercontest (including a top six finish). Subscribe to get access to Waz’s football picks this season.

Eric Waz

Waz has been a successful professional sports bettor since moving to Las Vegas in 2010. His comprehensive approach to sports betting includes quantifying the impact of factors that can be difficult to evaluate (scheduling, injuries, coaching, etc.). He’s developed several cutting-edge handicapping tools that are now available at BettorIQ. Waz won the 2011 NFL Last Man Standing title ($86,000) at Station Casinos by beating out over 4,200 entrants. He has also notched 5 cashes in 7 years in the prestigious Westgate NFL Supercontest. Get on board with a true professional sports bettor with a proven track record.